Yesterday, the inevitable outcome that so many feared - and expected - actually happened:

The key piece that finalized the deal? Money (hint: it’s ALWAYS money):

The $1.5 Billion Concession That Unlocked Paramount’s Deal With California

Investment in domestic production, quiet mediation from Gavin Newsom and threat of relocating help Paramount forge settlement

BTW, just as an aside, California’s annual GDP is somewhere just north of $4 trillion dollars. So, this settlement will theoretically bring in - on a one-time basis - approximately 0.00375% of California’s annual GDP. In the world of accounting, that means the $1.5 billion settlement amount is immaterial in California’s overall financial picture. Additionally, the film/TV industry contributes about $54 billion to California’s annual GDP, so the $1.5 billion represents approximately 2.8% of California’s annual GDP.

$1.5B sounds like a lot, but in the scheme of California, it’s a drop in the bucket.

Now, let’s take a quick look at Paramount and Warner Brothers. In 2025, Paramount Skydance had approximately $30 billion in gross revenue; Warner Brothers Discovery had approximately $37 billion, so together those companies grossed approximately $67 billion. $1.5 billion is approximately 2.2% of the combined entities annual revenue.

Remember, the state attorneys general sued for anti-trust reasons. Anti-trust enforcement was historically used to offset the tendency in capitalism for industries to consolidate - primarily through mergers, acquisitions or sheer domination by one or a few entities - resulting in reduced or even eliminated competition. And competition is the theoretical basis for the touting the efficiency and value-setting that defines capitalism.

In the past, anti-trust enforcement, primarily through the Sherman Act, the Clayton Act and the Federal Trade Commission Act, was used extensively. The U.S. broke up companies such as Standard Oil, American Tobacco, AT&T. It also levied strong enforcement actions against IBM, Microsoft, and yes, Paramount Pictures. Finally, it blocked mergers in several industries, including telecom (AT&T/T-Mobile), healthcare (Cigna/Anthem and AETNA/Humana), and retail (Heinz/Kraft).

Part of the issue arose with failed Supreme Court nominee Robert Bork and his view on anti-trust and industry concentration. Prior to Bork and his “conservative” compatriots, the view on the necessity of anti-trust was based on concern about economic concentration and business structure. The basic idea was: If a company becomes too dominant, or if a merger substantially increases concentration, that can itself threaten competition.

Bork took - and subsequent “conservative” courts now take - the view that anti-trust is more about consumer welfare and demonstrable harm to competition. Soif a company has a significantly concentrated share in a given industry, but promises to keep prices low, that is okay (of course, the problem is that prices NEVER stay low in the long term in industries with significant ogopolistic or monopolistic concertation).

Currently, more often than not, the SEC and FTC and DOJ simply agree to financial settlements and allow mergers to go through. This is very much similar to myriad instances where corporations are indicted for criminal/civil action and end up settling financially “without admitting or denying guilt”, with minimal repercussion for the corporation and literally zero repercussions for the individuals who perpetrated the theoretical illegal activity. Tis includes JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, Live Nation, Deutsche Bank, Wachovia, SeaWorld, Coast Produce, the Aon Corporation and the list goes on…

Back to Paramount/Skydance and Warner Brothers Discovery.

The real issue here is the consolidation of the legacy media in the hands of ideological owners.

  • Fox News, Wall Street Journal - Rupert Mordich

  • Sinclair Broadcasting - The Smith Family

  • Paramount, CBS (now CNN) - The Ellisons (with big help from the Saudis and other Middle Eastern Nations)

  • Washington Post - Jeff Bezos

  • Facebook (News and Social) - Mark Zuckerberg

  • Liberty Media - John Malone

  • Twitter - Elon Musk

  • Politico - Axel Springer

And then there is Breitbart News, News Nation, One American News Network, etc. etc. etc.

All owned by staunch “conservatives” and/or people who’ve thrown their lot in with Trumpism.

The goal in the case of Paramount/Warner Brothers was not to settle for financial purposes. It was to maintain the integrity of competition in the entertainment and news businesses (with the news business arguably being a public good).

The state attorneys general failed to achieve that goal.

Some of the other state attorneys general came away disappointed by the outcome because they wanted stronger concessions.

One of those attorneys is Connecticut AG William Tong, who said in a Monday statement that his office “wanted and demanded full divestiture of CNN and CBS News,” but did not get it. “I am deeply disappointed that we could not do more,” he wrote.

While the numbers always sound big fines in the millions and sometimes even billions - for mega corporations the money is just a drop in the bucket and the cost of doing business.

Behavior won’t change unless and until individuals who act badly are held personally responsible, and anti-trust law is enforced in meaningful ways beyond financial fines.

If the Democrats do manage to take back one or both seats of congress, this needs to be another in a long list of prioritites.

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C P1 month ago

This is certainly the least important or relevant thought to have about this, but as someone who gets most of his movies and television through streaming nowadays, Paramount+ is hands-down the worst of the major platforms. Watching them expand to acquire anything makes me roll my eyes.

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Joe is Wypoxic1 month ago

Is stopped watching them a while ago. Had nothing good to offer...

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C P1 month ago

They have all the Star Trek stuff.

And original MacGyver.

And a respectable amount of "classic" movies.

They also have Tulsa King, which at first thought might turn out to be the one Taylor Sheridan product I actually liked, but halfway through the first season I'm now doubting that even this one will. Stallone's having fun, though.

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C P1 month ago

Well, I'm certainly looking forward to President Newsom.

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Marmot Pimpernel 1 month ago

Haw haw!

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Scott H1 month ago

You're clearly on the wrong blog!

;)

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TBone Dinosaur1 month ago

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mister mixAuthor1 month ago

Gavin Newsom brokered this deal -- that's all I needed to see.

There's so much money around these acquisitions that, as you point out, $1.5 billion is just a cost of the acquisition. Newsom knows that it was bullshit. He's useless.

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Joe is Wypoxic1 month ago

He;s worse than useless. Good at trolling Trump. That's about all...

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Scott H1 month ago(edited)

Yup. If he's the Dem nominee, I won't vote for him.

Yeah, that makes this lifelong, self-identifying Dem a fascist, or something the usual centrist suspects will say. In terms of losers, I've voted for Carter, Mondale, Dukakis, Kerry, Clinton and Harris.

Goodhair II is a bridge too far.

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Scott H1 month ago

I also voted for Gore although given how his "Reinventing Government" bullshit from the campaign (it meant "outsource government", something the Bushies would do on steroids) meant my agency put jobs like mine on the outsource list and that carried over into the Dubya era. I managed to outlast the bastards.

Thing is, we didn't know this during the 2000 campaign. If Gore had won, I wouldn't have voted for him in 2004 precisely because he, damn near directly, tried to replace me with a contractor.

Goodhair II's policy stances in CA make Gore look like a communist. Fuck him.

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David J1 month ago

Lina Khan was the first FTC Chair in decades to take the position of focusing on concentration. She was a rockstar and much hated by the Epstein class. When she was a law student at Yale she co-authored a paper that was a not so veiled rebuttal to Bork's book, The Antitrust Paradox: A Policy at War With Itself.

On a somewhat related topic we are witnessing the worst capital allocation in the history of the world. The AI industry is about to tank and the larger tech world is about to go through some things. The concentration of market share in the tech industry both hardware and software has caused great damage to country. We can break up these monopolies and monopsonies if we elect the right people.

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Joe is Wypoxic1 month ago

Great comment David! Love Lina Khan...

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C P1 month ago

Yeah, if the "AI is about to kill us all!" sudden about-face is anything to go by, tech is going to be in some serious trouble very soon, and the damage from that isn't going to be limited to the tech sector.

(And because I'm an asshole and can't stop thinking politically, I'm going to be very fucking exhausted if tech falls apart during Trump's last year, the Democrats are stuck with the cleanup, and the public's response is just "oh God, we missed the Republican years, they were so fun!" Again).

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Marmot Pimpernel 1 month ago

Thank you for bringing up capital allocation! It’s finance’s main self-justification, and now their failure is complete.

Little Darth in there for the people.

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Busted Knee1 month ago

Some of the AI industry is going to tank. Not all of it. AI as a consumer product is a huge failure. AI for corporations and government is a huge win. The problem with the industry is that not all the players can stay afloat. Microsoft, Amazon, Google are all fine. OpenAI, Anthropic are houses of cards. Oracle has become a house of cards but it's products are so heavily used it's too big to fail.

We can't break up most of the trillion dollar companies without destroying them.

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Marmot Pimpernel 1 month ago

Hell yes. We’ve got a Supreme Court and justice system to reform, then a speed run through antitrust enforcement, taxing the rich, and prosecuting corruption. And then all the rest.

I hope Dems don’t hoist the usual banner: “Squander Now!” But they’ve finally felt the heat from internal competition for once.

Joe, here do you mean “than demonstrable harm”?

Bork took - and subsequent “conservative” courts now take - the view that anti-trust is more about consumer welfare and demonstrable harm to competition. Soif …

Everyone needs a copy editor! Nobody loves them!

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Joe is Wypoxic1 month ago

Thx for catching that error Marmot 😬