Turns out, referendums aren't going to work

Just a few months ago, Missouri voters approved a ballot measure to protect abortion rights. That measure, known as Amendment 3, added a “reproductive freedom” amendment to the state constitution. It was crafted to offer stronger legal protections for abortion than existed under Roe v. Wade, according to campaigners, and to end the state’s near-total abortion ban, which had been triggered by the Supreme Court’s 2022 decision to overturn Roe. Those who voted for it believed that the amendment would allow them to override such past anti-abortion court rulings and to block anti-abortion lawmakers’ future efforts—in essence, to reclaim their own rights and political voice. But as of May 27, by way of a two-page order from the state’s Supreme Court, the abortion ban voters had been told they defeated was back.

After last week’s ruling, Planned Parenthood health centers in the state—Missouri’s only abortion clinics—canceled upcoming appointments and advised patients that they could instead go to neighboring Kansas or Illinois, where abortion is legal. For now, those patients, and any Missourian who needs an abortion, have found themselves right back where they would have been had Amendment 3 never been on the ballot.

… abortion rights ballot measures have been seen as a path forward in a hostile legal environment, a way to restore access without relying on the courts. Campaigns would go direct to the people, giving energized supporters a tangible goal to work toward, along with some optimism, amid an otherwise crushing assault on reproductive freedom and bodily autonomy. The speed with which Missouri’s ballot measure has gone from being a historic victory to yet another legal battle reveals that such election night wins may prove to be far more qualified and complicated to hold onto than campaigners had hoped.

I helped with the Ohio pro choice referendum and we discussed a political dilemma - if we did this, would it effectively neutralize reproductive rights as a (good) issue for Democrats in 2024? Obviously as an ETHICAL issue it’s a no brainer - women die in anti choice states like Texas without best practices medical care for pregnancy and we couldn’t just let women die. However - In my opinion these state referendums DID take reproductive rights off the table in the 2024 election and mitigated the political risk for the GOP.

But we may be looking at religious fundamentalists overturning these referendums in courts - I guarantee when Vivek Ramaswamy is the far Right governor of Ohio he won’t protect reproductive rights. Keep an eye out for abortion re-appearing as an issue in 2028.

One interesting thing about the Ohio referendum. We hired paid canvassers to collect signatures to put the referendum on the ballot and they did a VERY good job. Paid canvassers are looked upon as sort of suspect by purists, but I always encourage paying people for work. The Right pays their people for work - we should too.

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