First, this from someone with generally good political instincts:

Then this sniveling nonsense:

Echoing Atrios, don’t these fuckers ever game anything out? Didn’t they think that maybe, just maybe, ICE would kill another person, and this person might be pretty close to the “perfect victim”, which is disgusting but also a sad political reality. They didn’t need to vote that way. Johnson would have eventually wrangled the votes to pass ICE funding on party lines. There was no need to hurry to help him out. Yet, here we are.

Anyway, Suozzi won back George Santos’ seat on Long Island in a special election, and that district (NY-3) is a Cook PVI of EVEN, so he doesn’t have any primary challengers right now. That may change.

Suozzi’s fellow Long Islander, Laura Gillen from D+2 NY-4, has a primary challenger who recently announced. Kiana Bierria-Anderson has a BlueSky account and has formed a committee, but that’s all I can find on her.

Meanwhile, over at R+2 WA-3, Marie Gluesnkamp Perez’ opponent issued this statement after her stupid vote:

Here’s his web page. He’s raised $41K so far, so he’s not a serious challenger by normal political standards, but by the standards of the challengers to the 7 who failed the ICE challenge, he’s pretty good.

Moving on to the Texas ICE supporters, let’s start with Henry Cuellar, who’s gotten a pardon from Trump and was protected by Pelosi & Co when he had a serious primary challenger. Neither of his opponents, Andrew Vantine and Ricardo Villareal have any fundraising on file with the FEC. They both have formed committees, so that doesn’t mean they haven’t raised anything — they could be fundraising now — but it does mean they haven’t raised much. Cuellar represents a R+3 district around Laredo.

In R+3 TX-34, Vincente Gonzalez has a primary opponent who actually raised some money. Etienne Rosas, who’s a proud member of the DSA, raised almost $17K.

Don Davis, over in R+2 NC-1, is running without a primary challenger.

And, of course, Jared Golden dropped out, yet he still voted for the ICE bill.

So, as someone who’s a big believer in primary challenges for Democrats who underperform their districts, I’m repeating what I said a number of times before: running a primary challenge is hard work, so we need to adjust expectations.

What I see here:

  • Mostly those who voted for ICE are in tough districts.

  • Only two of the voters were in districts where immigration is a real issue (the Texans).

  • Only MGP has what I would call a “serious” challenger.

Jeffries and his team spends a lot of time figuring out who can take these kinds of votes, and they picked wisely here. Jeffries is, and Pelosi was, good at “protecting members” by conventional political DC insider beltway standards. The only way that our country survives if when those bullshit standards are thrown out the window, but that won’t happen overnight, as can be seen here.

Primaries are going to play an important role in reforming the Democratic Party, but probably not for these six. Judging “seriousness” by amount of money raised is part of the sickness in our politics, but let’s be real: you need to raise enough to hire campaign staff and have campaign merchandise. None of these challengers have cleared that bar, yet.

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Scott H9 months ago

Bwahahahahahahahaha, people in Portland are reminding people about Mein Gluesenkampf's husband's auto repair shop:

https://x.com/neo_antiquarian/status/2015867921462149144

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Joe M9 months ago

Thanks for researching the potential primary opponents for these clowns. I've been wondering if there were any yet and if they were viable. I just started a monthly contribution to Hennrich (a whopping $5, it's in the bag now, baby!), and it even reads like his issues page is pretty reasonable.

With these sorts of things, I think part of the goal is to make the lame incumbent and the DCCC types sweat a bit even if the challenger doesn't ultimately win.

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Scott H9 months ago

We're trying that here in CO vis a vis Hick. Yeah, MM will call Karen Breslin "not a serious candidate" for a variety of applicable reasons but it shows incumbents like Hick he's got a log of angry Dems who want him gone.

Would I rather see Mein Gluesenkampf more gone for the political scene? Absolutely. If the trade off was reelecting Hick and showing her ass the door, I'd gladly pull the lever for Hick.

Okay, 'gladly' might be too strong a description.

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Sepideh M9 months ago

Julie Gonzales recently entered this race and is raising funds in Weld County on the 31st.

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Scott H9 months ago

MM and I had an offline conversation about her entering the race and the media attention it garnered.

The main thing that makes her "more serious" (on whatever the Serious Scale is deemed to be) is that she's an elected pol so, theoretically, knows how to run a race. Although I'd posit that running for a safe state-level seat is a far, far different beast than taking on the state Dem establishment looking to oust Hick.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not for/against either of these candidates vis a vis each other. More power to em for tilting at this windmill because neither stands a chance of unseating Hick.

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mister mixAuthor9 months ago

FWIW I think Julie Gonzales is absolutely a serious candidate. Since I'm a Colorado voter now, Senadora Gonzales will get my vote unless someone more compelling enters the race.

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Scott H9 months ago

Jeffries is, and Pelosi was, good at “protecting members”

Here's a guy with a different take on that: https://x.com/joewrote/status/2015497428737405050

The 7 House Democrats who voted with Republicans to fund ICE got burned by the Rotating Villain Strategy. Jeffries told them to take this unpopular vote and take the heat from the base, expecting someone else would play this role in the future.

It's worth reading the entire thing, that's just the first part.

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mister mixAuthor9 months ago

Yeah, that's basically what I meant by the rest of the sentence: "by conventional political DC insider beltway standards." I should have written more about it but the post was getting long.

Basically, the insider logic is that Democrats need to be moderate otherwise chaos will ensue, so you need to protect members by not making them eat shit on every vote. Servings of shit should be rationed. This is what makes a "good leader" in beltway land.

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Scott H9 months ago

The writer of that piece also makes sure he connects Golden and Mein Gluesenkampf to Ezra "Broder" Klein "His favorite Democrats".

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Scott H9 months ago

Suozzi's response is being praised elsewhere as you can imagine.

I will say this, if we're grading on a curve and the class consists of the seven shit "Dems" who Chamberlain Jeffries couldn't be bothered to whip, Suozzie's mea-culpa-of-sorts gets a B+.

OTOH, Mein Gluesenkampf's response is an "F" but also entirely on-brand for her. Somebody or somebodies are grooming her for bigger things cuz that response won't fly in her slightly-bluer-than-last-time district plus she gets national fluff pieces by outlets like FTFNYT damn near quarterly. It doesn't make sense on the surface but then again, half the time, she doesn't make sense.

And she shows nothing of the innate political talent other Dem pols of all persuasions show.

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Sepideh M9 months ago

Someone started a fundraiser for the Pretti family. https://www.gofundme.com/f/alex-pretti-is-an-american-hero

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TBone Dinosaur9 months ago

Also by Marisa Kabas:

"Okay just one more thing about suozzi

look at this 2024 campaign ad! his love for ICE runs deep! he did not make a little whoopsie with his recent vote, despite what he says. this is who he is!!!"

https://bsky.app/profile/marisakabas.bsky.social/post/3mddrmyaaes2z

When they tell you who they are...

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Sepideh M9 months ago

Besides mailing my two Senators and Representative, I donated to Hennrich so that the Democratic Party can see my opposition to their nonsense.

Considered donating to the DSA candidate in Texas.

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Scott H9 months ago

As you can imagine, I did a deep dive into Mein Gluesenkampf's campaign finances from 2024 and took a look at Hennrich's.

She currently has little money in the bank. But in 2024 she raised over $2m and, no shock here, a lot of it from traditional Dem sources (fair number of union donations and expected WA state sources like M$, timber, etc) who were clearly banking on the "Vote Blue No Matter Who" nonsense she represents.

So, in terms of who starts with how much dough, they're both the same. I know somebody there has started an ActBlue account for him. It is very clear that the Dem establishment will look at this as an insurgency by a SPLITTTTUH!!! and we'll get all the usual bromides about her district's lean, etc.

Of course one of the PACs that has donated to her is WelcomePAC. This is my shocked face.

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Kay W.9 months ago

Well, I’m leaving Tik Tok. They won’t post my (fabulous and popular) critiques of Right wing men or my pro Amy Acton posts. Democratic electeds were so desperate to shut down information on the genocide they were supporting in Gaza they handed over a whole social media site to the far Right. Excellent work, everyone. Now Tik Tok, Meta and X are all far Right.

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TBone Dinosaur9 months ago

Ken White skeet - check out the reply qbout Maine Newsroom guy's experience

https://bsky.app/profile/kenwhite.bsky.social/post/3mddujw2zec2v

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TBone Dinosaur9 months ago

How to post video on BlueSky

https://dlvrit.com/blog/bluesky-video/

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TBone Dinosaur9 months ago

Bluesky rolled out video uploads in 2024, then expanded length limits in 2025 from 60 seconds to 3 minutes. You can post natively via mobile or desktop, and videos autoplay in the feed—just like other major platforms.

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Kay W.9 months ago

I liked my Tik Tok audience. I felt like they were more “normies” than Bluesky, so it’s more productive in terms of actual voters. I suspect Tik Tok is lower income than Bluesky too - there’s a whole group of people who post “struggle food” - low income meals.

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Kay W.9 months ago

You cannot call for accountability without also demanding accountability from your own side/people. A primary challenge is an accountability measure, as is public pressure when Democratic electeds fuck up. They’re not our personal friends. We don’t owe them allegiance.

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Kay W.9 months ago

Ha! I was gonna put up the Suozzi switch as an example of effective advocacy from the base. We pushed, and he backed down. As he should. If we had followed Blue MAGA directives and sit down and shut up he wouldn’t have switched to the ethical side. Mistermix has high standards 🙂 Good! Lowering standards is how we got into this mess.

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mister mixAuthor9 months ago

You're right about effective advocacy. I think not voting for ICE when they're already killing people is the least we should expect.

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Joe is Wypoxic9 months ago

Suozzi is the classic example of someone who followed clueless inside-the-beltway-consultant advice and now has to eat crow because more than anything, he wants to keep his job. Notice he did not talk about eliminating, defunding or even restructuring ICE/DHS. He still can't bring himself to go there but knows he's in deep doo doo.

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Scott H9 months ago

Heh heh, already centrist/consultants like the Searchlight Inst and Third Way are already telling folks "Don't run on abolishing ICE, it'll hurt Dems in the midterms."

When a generally awful "Dem" like Suozzi gets bit in the ass by that "thinking", it says something.

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C P9 months ago

You don't need to run on abolishing ICE. You can just run on "fuck ICE."

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Scott H9 months ago

DNC: We like to avoid policy. We prefer our candidate have at most one signature bill, which can be compromised into meaninglessness but flogged for votes in perpetuity.

Staffer: Have we tried running a candidate with no policy whatsoever?

DNC: 🤣 You’ll do well here!