Attended a 4 county Ohio Democratic dinner last night. First, the good news - it was sold out and two “opposition” groups that have sprung up since Trump was elected bought two tables, so 16 new people. There are about 40 members of the two new opposition groups so I feel like 16 out of 40 is a good result. Local Dems reaching out to Dem-aligned outside groups was successful, I think. I sat with the newbies and it was an interesting perspective - like looking at your living room thru the eyes of a visitor. All in all I felt we (Democrats) presented quite well. I’m going to a Hands Off event with these same people Saturday so we’ll see what they thought of the Democrats.

We invited Marcy Kaptur to this event but she declined, then about an hour into it she arrived! I suppose she was able to attend because House Republicans stopped working again this week. People were very happy to see her. Kaptur is a great retail politician and a “brand” unto herself in the Toledo area, which is how she has held on in a swing district even as Ohio swung far Right.

Now the bad news - the only Dem candidate who has entered the governor’s race is Dr. Amy Acton. I love Acton- she’s a truly impressive person - but she was the face of covid restrictions in Ohio and we are going to get slaughtered if she is the candidate.

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Amy Acton became a household name in Ohio during the COVID pandemic. Now the doctor celebrated with the phrase “Not all heroes wear capes” wants to serve the state as governor.The former Ohio Department of Health director, a Democrat, announced her campaign in January.

Exactly. The household name on covid. Ugh. Not her fault but definitely her problem.

There is still (some) time for someone else to enter. The scuttlebutt is Sherrod is running for Senate again so he’s out but I’m hoping Tim Ryan might jump in. Ryan is a shape shifting moderate and a mediocre candidate but he may be all we got.

Vivek Ramaswamy will be the R nominee. I know online Democrats say he can’t win MAGA Ohio because he is not white, but I think this is bullshit and part of the lack of understanding of MAGA and what we’re up against among liberals and Democrats. Democrats refuse to accept it, but MAGA made real gains on diversity and Democrats had real losses among non white voters. This is just a fact at this point and insisting that non white candidates cannot win white MAGA voters goes against all observable reality. Unless we get a viable Democratic candidate for governor in Ohio we’ll all be suffering under far Right crook Ramaswamy.

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Scott H1 year ago

Online Dems from another blog typically opine from a very entitled, white professional bubble, thus, refuse to see the effects your reference in terms of MAGA diversity gains, real Dem losses among non-white voters and the general "why bother" effect Dems had on low-info/low-motivation voters.

But those same 'insightful' commentators are simply doubling down on that. It might work during the mid-terms based on MM's "drive the car out of a ditch" theory of electoral politics but in 4 years? Yikes.

Which is why a complete nutjob like Ramaswamy's no longer necessarily an auto-lose in a state like yours. I don't care what people are reading into the tea leaves based on a Lancaster PA, state election result. It doesn't necessarily translate statewide.

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Tam R1 year ago

What I’ve noticed over the years is that we barely, if at all, do any after election analysis when we win. When we lose people tend to blame according to their own particular bias or belief. Several election cycles ago we were discussing Democrats having a demographic advantage and a geographic disadvantage. Will it turns out we have both! I think it’s important that we set aside our particular biases, beliefs and ideology and really analyze the data and do a lot of research.

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John S.1 year ago

Most orgs don’t engage in win/loss analysis. Which is a pity, because it’s the best path to long term success.

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John S.1 year ago

Gerrymandered districts are one thing, but in this political climate, Democrats shouldn’t lose any statewide elections unless they run terrible candidates. Which seems to be the thrust of this post. 😊

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Paul W.1 year ago

What are your thoughts on the upcoming senate race? Should Brown run again, or who is out there that could perform well because in this environment they have a real shot at winning!

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Kay W.1 year ago

I think Brown should run again. Hopefully he’ll have a better environment next time.

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Tam R1 year ago

I found an old campaign sign from like 2006 that my mom had. Sherrod and Connie both signed it. Martin Sheen wrote a long message to my mom. Apparently they visited for quite awhile when they showed up at a phonebank.

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Run Goose1 year ago

And uncomfortably, a lot of that move to MAGA from non-white voters is likely driven by the three-headed dragon of misogyny, transphobia, and homophobia conjured up by the rightwing online environment.

We have to knock that crap out head-on for several reasons.

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r po1 year ago

I live in a 30% white area and I completely agree that there are plenty of non-whites who have and will vote MAGA. Think trades and service workers. A lot of people prefer to stick in rather than out with their work mates.