Haley Stevens has an X post out where she says “everyone in America” knows that Abdul El-Sayed “blames Jewish Americans for all his problems”. Because she’s “America” and he is not. Gross. Also- note the complete conflation of “Jewish Americans” ( a group of people with diverse opinions on… everything, just like everyone else) with the far Right government of Israel. This is further than even Lindsey Graham ever went. I love that these two candidates both grew up in leafy suburbs in the eastern part of the state but one of them has decided to pretend she’s a Trump voter in rural western Michigan., complete with a brand new accent. I think she gets terrible advice.

Team Abdul feel tentatively positive about the race - there’s some good polling and a very large ground game where they are convinced they have all the enthusiasm (but people on the ground are always convinced of that, campaigns are a genuine echo chamber).

It ain’t over yet and a 60 million dollar pounding in negative ads paid for by PACs take a toll - it will be close. One of our doorknockers was at the door of a 78 year old Democrat and one of the PAC ads smearing El-Sayed was playing loudly on the tv as she knocked. She described it as “surreal”.

Win or lose on Tuesday, I’m proud of the candidate and the campaign and make no apologies for our positions on foreign policy, the obscene amounts of billionaire money in politics and genuinely guaranteed health care. I’ll happily defend any of it.

I’ve been super active in Michigan since I returned from Denmark, mostly because I was immediately welcomed by local Democrats, which I appreciate. I’m (obviously) backing Abdul but I’m also backing the gal at the top of the page, Rebecca Amidon (state senate) and Jocelyn Benson (governor) - more on Benson later. Now to Rebecca.

I was invited to a “round table” this past week after I heard Rebecca speak at a county Dem event back in January.. I though she was great at the January event and told her so. The roundtable event was terrific. About a dozen potential donors and Rebecca. They asked her hard questions and I listened. I don’t know Michigan but I am learning.

She has an interesting back story. She grew up in a law enforcement family in rural Indiana. She said, very plainly, “I now know they are Christian Nationalists”. Her dad invited her to go with him to a Trump rally in 2015. She went and had this kind of epiphany that she describes as “oh, whatever this is it is not for me at all”. One of the round table participants called out “that was Jesus getting you out of there” (joke, just a joke!)

Now liberal-curious, she then met her current Michigander husband on a dating app in 2016. He’s a liberal, so she went all the way from Trump rally to…end up in the backyard of a very nice home telling us how she wants to pass a statewide child care plan in Michigan. We got her!

She’s much further Right than I am - belongs to a pistol club and talks about “2A” (lol) but as I have written here before I think America treats parents and children like shit so she’s one of my picks this cycle. She has an uphill battle. Her opponent is a wackjob “constitutional sheriff” and her district hasn’t elected a Democrat to the statehouse in 40 years but I think she’s great and will go all the way.

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TBone Dinosaur3 months ago

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tam1MI 3 months ago

*One of our doorknockers was at the door of a 78 year old Democrat and one of the PAC ads smearing El-Sayed was playing loudly on the tv as she knocked. She described it as “surreal”. *

I live in Lansing. And as of today, I have received not a single communication from the El-Sayed campaign or seen a single ad from them, not even on YouTube which I watch regularly. Not a text, not a phone call. (I don't get door knockers because I live in an apartment complex that enforces its No Solicitation signs). But every single day a month now, I have gotten Haley Stevens campaign flyers in my mailbox, and I have seen Steven's ads whenever I turn on my TV. If she loses the primary, it won't be for lack of blanketing the state with her campaign message.

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Kay W.3 months ago

Are you a Stevens backer? It’s absolutely fine if you are but you wouldn’t be on a knock list if you are. Lists are REALLY good now. No one does just Willy nilly door knocks anymore. It’s either “persuadable” or “likely El-Sayed” Also, and I know Stevens folks hate this, but it’s just a fact that she’s outspent him 30 to 1. She can afford hundreds of attacks on tv, or her PACs can. Whats she going to spend in the general? 100 million? A billion? Is there ANY limit to this insanity?

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tam1MI 3 months ago

Are you a Stevens backer?

I am an ex-McMorrow backer who is feeling pretty unrepresented this election cycle. Honestly not sure who I will ultimately vote for on August 4. I am worried that El-Sayed is going to turn into another Platner situation, not in that he turns out to be a horrible person, but that he romps in the polls all the way up until he wins the primary, then the bottom falls out. I am worried about Stevens for the reasons you stated about her funding. And I am worried in general because, as a Michigan native, I have seen Mike Rogers in action and he will be extremely tough to beat, especially if as you predict the big money goes over to him.

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Kay W.3 months ago

Look, I didn’t tell Haley Stevens she could win an election by promising donors she won’t change anything. She did that herself. People are mad at the status quo. She’s the status quo. How did she miss that?

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tam1MI 3 months ago

Also, I won't be on anybody's knock list because, like I said, my apartment complex has a No Solicitation rule and they enforce it. Generally, political campaigns rely on flyers and the like to get around that. I was just commenting on the lack of AES flyers I have been receiving, normally I get flyers from all the candidates, but this cycle. As far as the senate race goes, I have only gotten flyers from one campaign, Stevens. I have to go out of my way to get information about AES.

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Sepideh M3 months ago

Apartment complexes are such a labyrinthine mess for door knocking, literature distribution, and so on.

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tam1MI 3 months ago

I can't speak for other states, but in Michigan, the law states that if we let political door knockers into our apartment complexes, or even something as harmless as girl scouts selling cookies, we have to let in every latter Day Saint and natural gas scamster who comes along. So basically the position most apartment complexes take is that nobody is allowed to come in and knock on doors for anything.

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Kay W.3 months ago

Just so we’re clear. Paul Singer is AIPACs largest donor. Paul Singer is a far Right hedge fund guy and one of Trumps top three donors. Do you think these donors she has support liberal policy, like tax increases on…Paul Singer? Or do you think the moment they knock El-Sayed out they go after Stevens? It isn’t just Palestinians. It’s that Stevens donors are Trumps donors. That’s a problem!

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Busted Knee3 months ago

Right wingers know they need just enough moderate and mainstream Democrats to keep punching left to make sure neoliberalism stays locked in place. They can also count on those mainstream Democrats to scream racism the moment someone mentions health care or say "breaking up the big banks won't stop racism" the moment someone mentions that. This is how Democrats and liberalism functions and it will not change.

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Kay W.3 months ago

Ultimately, I don’t think guaranteeing the status quo can win. I think if you continue to put forth candidates who promise to do nothing other than slightly tweak GOP policy, you will lose base every single year. Stevens tells us over and over she won’t be changing anything - not ICE,not Iran, not the Court, not campaign finance, not health care. That’s why she’s burned 60 million dollars fighting an opponent you deem terrible. These voters are telling you something. You can dismiss them (as you consistently do) but they are credibly challenging your carefully chosen moderates and you can’t explain that. She should have won this in a walk- instead they had to call in the entire Dem Calvary and she’s STILL flailing. Ignore that at your peril.

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C P3 months ago

Well, more importantly, telling us she won't change anything guarantees that even if she does win everything we're just setting ourselves up for another lackluster term in which, even if we can get another trifecta... every Stevens like senator we get makes it less likely that nothing meaningful gets done and the fascist movement continues seizing power with no serious pushback.

That's my biggest concern, personally.

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Kay W.3 months ago

She dismissed “Abdul” (she refers to him by his first name, which is both patronizing and impolite) as not a threat because she’s out of touch with voters. That’s her fault too, not mine. Next time maybe she’ll run her own campaign instead of letting calcified, coddled consultants do it. This isn’t beanbag. We fight back.

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tam1MI 3 months ago

Fine. If you don't want my vote, I'll stay home. Your side isn't the only one who can be Uncommitted.

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mister mixAuthor3 months ago

Why not vote for McMorrow? Isn't that the ultimate protest vote?

(Not trolling, serious question.)

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tam1MI 3 months ago

Well, I think McMorrow's name will still be on the ballot for the primary, and she is probably going to get a few votes since she dropped out after mail-in voting started. However, in the general, the protest vote for supporters of either candidate, here would be Mike duggan, who was running as a third party candidate but paused his campaign a while back, paused, not ended.

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tam1MI 3 months ago

It hadn't occurred to me that that voting for McMorrow was still a possibility. I may just do that, and wash my hands of the rest of this horribly dispiriting Senate campaign.

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Sepideh M3 months ago

What are the candidate positions on data centers?

I am seeing someone saying that Stevens dodged a question on the Saline Township data center.

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mister mixAuthor3 months ago

Here's the Stevens tweet (under my comment) on BlueSky: https://bsky.app/profile/heymistermix.com/post/3mrx5fzulhc2k

The "Jewish American" stuff is terrible, but her smack talk "argument" for electability is that El-Sayed lost to Gretchen Whitmer in 2018, but Stevens beat a no-name state rep then, so she's the "electable" one. Electability arguments are often nonsense, but, man, that's nonsense on stilts.

I also think that Stevens comes off as a weirdo, just odd. The accent, the way she tries to project some kind of tough guy image, etc. I know probably some of that impression is because I'm a old man and have internalized some bad stuff, but there it is.

Finally, I know some of the commenters here think I'm being a sweet summer child about negative ads, but in a primary, I think an avalanche of third-party negative ads end up backfiring. CO-1 where Kiros made DeGette's third party negative ads an issue is one example.

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Kay W.3 months ago

I mean, to be “electable” you have to win a primary. Her campaign reminds me of Clinton in ‘08. I don’t know why we keep running the same campaigns.

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Kay W.3 months ago

She’s just kind of shuffling thru this deck of boring, over used tactics. “Workhorse not show horse!” Then “I’m an American” (hint hint), then “ eastern elites” and now it’s “he can’t win, be afraid!” The truth is they’re both striving overachievers who had a lot of advantages. He’s a science nerd and she’s a government nerd. She could just run against the actual person instead of this weird, desperate caricature. There is NO policy in her campaign. It is 100% identity.

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mister mixAuthor3 months ago

Yeah, the "NO policy" thing is another parallel with CO-1. DeGette's campaign was all about tenure and making the fairly normal-for-a-29-year-old views of Kiros into some kind of sin against the Democratic Party.

Primary voters want to hear what the candidate would do.

Also, LOL at the "eastern elite" stuff -- she went to American University and got a MA in public policy. That's putting yourself directly into the DC elite pipeline.

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C P3 months ago

On behalf of AU Eagles everywhere, I apologize.

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Busted Knee3 months ago

Work horse not a show horse = They aren't going to do anything for common people and they aren't going to commit to doing anything for them either. It's transparent and a wink wink to donors and the upper middle class who don't want anything done for or promised to the dirty working class either.

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Kay W.3 months ago

It’s fine. We say “If you want the status quo vote for Steven”. Her one and only policy position is “fund the CHIPs Act more!”
It’s small ball and it isn’t grounded in values.