Unrelated to this post, but one of my favorite parts of Copenhagen is this:

 Bikes go on the left, walkers on the right

The newer areas of the city (and Copenhagen is booming- there are a lot of newer areas) are designed around 5 story apartment buildings. It’s very spare Scandinavian design, which I love, but it also creates this interconnected series of bike and walking paths that function as an inner ring transportation system. So, one can take a street route, where there are stores and the metro and buses or one can bike and walk on these interior off-street paths that intersect and cross canals. It’s wonderful for children – they can essentially take a “back” (car-free) route to and from school and home and out and about.

We could never do it in the US because no one is the boss of us and individual developers would never be required to actually do anything for a common good or city or residents, but it’s just lovely. At night they light up the canal bridges that criss cross the paths and everyone is out. Renters and owners! Everyone gets this benefit! Amazing.

Gloomy day in Copenhagen today so let’s talk about US politics.

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Columbus, Ohio – The race for Ohio governor is intensifying, with recent forecasts and polling data indicating a narrowing gap between Democratic candidate Amy Acton and Republican frontrunner Vivek Ramaswamy. Two prominent election forecasters, The Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, have both adjusted their ratings for the Ohio gubernatorial election, moving it from “Likely Republican” to “Lean Republican” on Thursday, March 21, 2026. This shift reflects growing confidence in Acton’s ability to mount a serious challenge to Ramaswamy.

The revised outlooks come on the heels of two recent polls that show Acton with a lead over Ramaswamy. A Quantus Insights poll, released March 14, 2026, found Acton with a narrow one-point advantage, garnering 46% support compared to Ramaswamy’s 45%. Earlier, in February, a poll conducted by EMC Research revealed a more substantial lead for Acton, with 53% of likely voters supporting her candidacy versus 43% for Ramaswamy.

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Analysts at The Cook Political Report attribute the change in forecast, in part, to perceived “baggage” surrounding Ramaswamy’s campaign. Although, they as well acknowledge Ohio’s historical tendency to favor Republican candidates in statewide elections and Ramaswamy’s significant financial resources. The report suggests Acton will face an uphill battle in matching Ramaswamy’s spending in the coming months.

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, in its analysis, highlighted Ohio’s tradition of electing more established, mainstream Republicans. Figures like current Governor Mike DeWine and former governors George Voinovich, Bob Taft, and John Kasich, have consistently won reelection by substantial margins. The analysis contrasts Ramaswamy with these figures, drawing parallels to more recent Republican Senate candidates in Ohio, JD Vance and Bernie Moreno, who underperformed expectations in statewide races

I’m on about Dr. Amy Acton again because I don’t get the sense that you-all are really getting how positive this is. I’m going to start collaring people on the street and demanding they admit Acton is doing well.

Understandable! I know why you’re skeptical. Ohio went deep Red during my tenure there as a Party committee woman, delegate to both the state and national conventions and activist. I’ll accept a small role in how we got here, but honestly, it isn’t all my fault.  6 million voters went from electing Democrats about 40% of the time to never electing Democrats.

My own rural, white working class county in Ohio went from 60/40 R to 75/25 R over four years. They didn’t get any MORE racist than they ever were (which was plenty racist, true!) yet we lost a ton of voters.

Here’s the thing:

But the real problems for Democrats came in the urban counties. Voter turnout was down in Cleveland's Cuyahoga County 5.3 percentage points compared to 2020, down 4.7 in Columbus' Franklin County, down 3.5 in Cincinnati's Hamilton County and down 2.1 in Akron's Summit County.

In fact, the only county that Harris won that increased voter turnout since 2020 was Athens County, home of Ohio University.

Acton is NOT running a base-centered campaign. I’ve been to four of her events and the plan is to flip 1 in 5 Trump voters. She goes on and on about how Mike DeWine (who is a complete fucking hack with no core) is a great statesman – annoying but might be appealing to swingy suburban voters.

I think part of why she’s being received so well is she’s genuine. She’s a genuine moderate. Unlike me, she actually DOES want GOP voters in our tent. She also, IMO, has this great sense for normies because she IS a normie. She isn’t carrying a big load of past losses, betrayals, grievance and resentment.

I will be fully moved to Michigan by November so will be voting for Michigan governor and not Ohio, but I still think Acton’s come from behind is exciting and positive news. I love a long shot.

She’ll still need to do lots of outreach to African American communities in Ohio. They are absolutely essential to any Democratic win in Ohio and important players in Ohio politics in their own right, but she still has time to really focus there.

 

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Sepideh M8 months ago

We can and do some of this but not on the scale of Copenhagen. Our city owns a bunch of public lands. We have multi-use paths. They are there for cyclists and pedestrians to use, but they are also there to catch floodwaters if we happen to get too much snow melt or too much rain.

It is mostly recreational so it doesn't really go anywhere, but it does exist and can exist.

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TBone Dinosaur8 months ago

Mood music to get up and out today because I feel like warmed over turds, I have the ick and all I wanna do is lay here and lick my wounds.

🎶 https://youtu.be/SFPL97m2dsw?si=b6L-RzKf1AIhtblW

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Joe is Wypoxic8 months ago

Ahhhh, the joy of thinking as a community rather than "what's in it for me". That's one of the main differentiators between Europe and us. I've held several leadership roles in my small mountain town and, of course, run for federal office, but what I am most proud of is the unknown-to-most role I played (with a group of others) in creating a pathways system throughout our community. It wasn't easy - lots of initial pushback from lots of diverse entities - horseback riders, state DOT, "auto supremacists", private landowners, etc. A couple of decades later, this pathways system is now viewed as one of the crown jewels of our community, from parents who 's kids can safely ride bikes to school to commuters to people out for a pleasant daily walk. Soothes the sole to see how it worked out...

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Kay W.8 months ago

I just love it. I didn’t realize how much cars ruin walking. I haven’t ridden a bike here because they ride fast and are serious about it and I’m not confident enough yet, but my husband took to it easily.

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TBone Dinosaur8 months ago

My favorite sight in this backwater college town is a girl that rides her unicycle around town.

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Joe is Wypoxic8 months ago

"sole?" Darn. soul...

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mister mix8 months ago

I’ve been to four of her events and the plan is to flip 1 in 5 Trump voters. She goes on and on about how Mike DeWine (who is a complete fucking hack with no core) is a great statesman – annoying but might be appealing to swingy suburban voters.

Seems like a reasonable strategy to me.

I wonder if the fall off of turnout in urban counties like Cuyahoga is in the suburbs or the core.

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TBone Dinosaur8 months ago

This is partly why I was so nice to the MAGA tax assessor yute. Best foot forward.

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Scott H8 months ago

That also crossed my mind, particularly as we see how displacement/gentrification/sprawl has played out coming out of the Great Recession.

As whites flocked to urban cores for their Urban-Living Theme Park Experience, they, enabled and encouraged by Dem-run city policies, displaced the fuck out of the POC communities...who moved to inner-ring burbs.

Outer ring burbs/exurbs remain the white enclaves you expect...except they came from whites fleeing further outward or a slew of transplants who want suburb/exurb life.

How those voting patterns play out is indicative of where Dems "gain" and "lose" votes because while it might break down at the meta level along racial lines, there's an increasingly class distinction in how those locations vote.

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Scott H8 months ago

Tom Toles wrote one of the most prescient political cartoons in 1998 on this exact thing:

https://www.flickr.com/photos/rllayman/95438294

In typical Toles fashion, the best is the little side-comment at the bottom right:

The Great White Ring Conspiracy

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Scott H8 months ago(edited)

We're always being told elsewhere that it's the "urban" (which should read "metro') areas that are the future of the Dem Party. And that's been the full-bore mission since coming out of the Great Recession. And what have we seen? That was a rhetorical question.

And yet, well, you bring up the numbers and the obvious question is "Why?" Part of it is locals can look to local Dems and have watched how cosmopolitan business neolib/Reaganism the has led us to marginalize even more the working class along all ethnic lines, the minority poor, has effectively choked not only the middle class but people who aspire to get into the middle class.

The net result is opening us up to attacks from right-wing populism we have no answer to.

Because when the same people either say "let's discuss this later" or double-down on the same shit, it's always from the center-right wing of the party and their online fluffers that doesn't acknowledge that 'triangulation' has been a death knell to us.

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Scott H8 months ago

Lemme go back further to red, rurl Central Misery. In 1996, the presidential split there was 60/40 like you describe. When I left 22+ years later, the split was 80/20.

Why did it take so long in an area that is a baked in (R) now as anywhere? The outflow of residents wasn't as fast. We always joked that nobody left because the kids could all get state gumint jobs (we're adjacent to the podunk capitol at Jeff City) or jobs that existed in second and third order affects because we had such a reliable employer.

That's diminished to an extent coming out of the Great Recession and the wingbut stranglehold on state gubmint. But it also reflected the general trend, which I see on the target end here in Denver, of a generation of kids wanting to leave and finding "hot" places to move to.

The resultant demographic change in those red, rurl counties, isn't gonna change anytime soon if ever. Overlay modern propaganda that would make Goebbel's proud and here we are.

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Scott H8 months ago

Acton trying to shave off a few percentage points of that is nothing new. People elsewhere yammer about what Fetterman did in PA as if it were some new and brilliant electoral strategy.

Except that good ole Claire McCaskill did that exact same thing during her last Senate campaign. I was no fan of Feckless Claire but her last campaign was the template for what the stroke victim did later in PA...except he won.

She'd go into red, rurl areas that Hawley's still never been to and announce to a roomful of folks "I'm a Democrat and I'm here. My opponent will never step foot here". Didn't matter, she still got pounded because we were seeing the demographic effects I describe above in full force.

Acton should use data center opposition as a policy issue, it's a big deal there at the moment (like it is elsewhere). Plenty of pissed off (R) voters who'd vote (D) if they made a firm statement in opposition to em.

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Kay W.8 months ago

The Missouri/Ohio comparison is good - agree we could learn from that.